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kc0257
    06-Jan-2013 22:04  
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Must I or will I expect to receive any letter to apply from ATM? If yes, will will the letter come?

Thanks
 
 
sun233
    06-Jan-2013 22:03  
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SORRY abt that. Message got posted a few times.
 
 
sun233
    06-Jan-2013 22:00  
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Dont sell. Read on. Its a good deal. People who tell you to sell are gonna buy them when you sell.

Author: Goh Eng Yeow 10/12/2012 


OLAM International's critics are hard to appease - angry about its vulnerability to short-sellers on the one hand, scathing about its move to defend itself on the other.

Their first complaint is that the agricultural commodities trader runs a fiendishly complicated business with too much debt. That is why short-sellers like independent research outfit Muddy Waters are emboldened to attack it.

Then when the company launched a " shock and awe" approach in the form of a rights issue to fend off the raiders, it was slammed as well.

The complaint this time is that the structure of the offering - a US$750 million (S$916 million) bond-cum-warrants issue - is so complicated that it is impossible to work out what benefits investors will get out of it.

There are also gripes about the way Olam went about the rights issue.

One Reuters writer asked how arm-twisting shareholders into supporting the company is going to dispel the concerns raised by Muddy Waters.

It looked like a short-term fix, he said.

The Financial Times broadened the scope of the criticism: It claimed that since the Olam offering would be fully underwritten by Temasek Holdings, it was Singapore's way of betting that it could shift the debate from Olam's solvency to one of which side has greater firepower - the city-state with an eye to deterring more attacks of this kind, or the shorts.

For Olam's suffering shareholders, there is only one overriding concern: Is the rights offer worth taking up?

For every 1,000 shares, Olam is offering shareholders 313 bonds priced at 95 per cent of par with a coupon rate of 6.75 per cent that comes with 162 detachable " free" warrants.

To make sure that everyone gets the message loud and clear, Temasek Holdings, which owns about 16 per cent of the company, has undertaken not only to pick up its pro-rata entitlement of the offering, but also to mop up all the rights shares not taken up by existing shareholders.

Muddy Waters founder Carson Block, whose salvos launched the mother of all battles to defend Olam, immediately claimed that this amounted to a sovereign bailout of Olam.

But he failed to highlight that the firm's group managing director Sunny Verghese, who holds 4.7 per cent, intends to exercise his rights entitlements as well.

Now that raises an interesting question: Why should Mr Verghese want to put up US$33 million of his own money into Olam if the company is a sinking ship - destined to fail, as Mr Block puts it?

Former Morgan Stanley investment banker Michael Dee, who has worked out the mathematics behind the offer, described the deal as being so sweet, it should be described as the " sale of the century" .

He said: " The US$750 million debt and warrant package is one sweet deal for Temasek and is not being done for charitable reasons."

The so-called " free" warrants that came with the US$750 million of five-year bonds are hardly free and offer " tremendous value" , as they are long-dated options which give their holders the right to buy Olam's shares at US$1.291 apiece in years four and five of their issue.

Mr Dee said that Black-Scholes model - a complicated mathematics formula developed by economists to value complicated derivatives such as warrants - would value these warrants at around 40 Singapore cents, assuming it is business as usual at Olam.

This means that if an investor sells his warrants, the effective cost for his bonds will be cut from 95 US cents to 78 US cents apiece, giving him an effective yield of 13 per cent.

The proposed rights offering had also calmed jittery Olam bond investors, with existing bonds rallying sharply last week after sinking to record lows. It alleviated fears about the company's ability to repay debts maturing next year.

Still, the way the rights issue has been structured suggests that it was hastily put together without considering that retail investors may be reluctant to take it up because they will end up with odd lots that could be difficult to sell.

As the transaction is due to be completed early next year, there is plenty of time for Olam to tweak the numbers to make sure that its rights offering gains popularity and goodwill among investors.

So, rather than getting arm-twisted into supporting Olam, the company's shareholders may actually be getting a sweetheart deal. They should thank Muddy Waters for the company's generosity.

engyeow@sph.com.sg

http://www.cpf.gov.sg/imsavvy/infohub_article.asp?readid=%7B672548864-15269-6582131981%7D
Author: Goh Eng Yeow 10/12/2012 


OLAM International's critics are hard to appease - angry about its vulnerability to short-sellers on the one hand, scathing about its move to defend itself on the other.

Their first complaint is that the agricultural commodities trader runs a fiendishly complicated business with too much debt. That is why short-sellers like independent research outfit Muddy Waters are emboldened to attack it.

Then when the company launched a " shock and awe" approach in the form of a rights issue to fend off the raiders, it was slammed as well.

The complaint this time is that the structure of the offering - a US$750 million (S$916 million) bond-cum-warrants issue - is so complicated that it is impossible to work out what benefits investors will get out of it.

There are also gripes about the way Olam went about the rights issue.

One Reuters writer asked how arm-twisting shareholders into supporting the company is going to dispel the concerns raised by Muddy Waters.

It looked like a short-term fix, he said.

The Financial Times broadened the scope of the criticism: It claimed that since the Olam offering would be fully underwritten by Temasek Holdings, it was Singapore's way of betting that it could shift the debate from Olam's solvency to one of which side has greater firepower - the city-state with an eye to deterring more attacks of this kind, or the shorts.

For Olam's suffering shareholders, there is only one overriding concern: Is the rights offer worth taking up?

For every 1,000 shares, Olam is offering shareholders 313 bonds priced at 95 per cent of par with a coupon rate of 6.75 per cent that comes with 162 detachable " free" warrants.

To make sure that everyone gets the message loud and clear, Temasek Holdings, which owns about 16 per cent of the company, has undertaken not only to pick up its pro-rata entitlement of the offering, but also to mop up all the rights shares not taken up by existing shareholders.

Muddy Waters founder Carson Block, whose salvos launched the mother of all battles to defend Olam, immediately claimed that this amounted to a sovereign bailout of Olam.

But he failed to highlight that the firm's group managing director Sunny Verghese, who holds 4.7 per cent, intends to exercise his rights entitlements as well.

Now that raises an interesting question: Why should Mr Verghese want to put up US$33 million of his own money into Olam if the company is a sinking ship - destined to fail, as Mr Block puts it?

Former Morgan Stanley investment banker Michael Dee, who has worked out the mathematics behind the offer, described the deal as being so sweet, it should be described as the " sale of the century" .

He said: " The US$750 million debt and warrant package is one sweet deal for Temasek and is not being done for charitable reasons."

The so-called " free" warrants that came with the US$750 million of five-year bonds are hardly free and offer " tremendous value" , as they are long-dated options which give their holders the right to buy Olam's shares at US$1.291 apiece in years four and five of their issue.

Mr Dee said that Black-Scholes model - a complicated mathematics formula developed by economists to value complicated derivatives such as warrants - would value these warrants at around 40 Singapore cents, assuming it is business as usual at Olam.

This means that if an investor sells his warrants, the effective cost for his bonds will be cut from 95 US cents to 78 US cents apiece, giving him an effective yield of 13 per cent.

The proposed rights offering had also calmed jittery Olam bond investors, with existing bonds rallying sharply last week after sinking to record lows. It alleviated fears about the company's ability to repay debts maturing next year.

Still, the way the rights issue has been structured suggests that it was hastily put together without considering that retail investors may be reluctant to take it up because they will end up with odd lots that could be difficult to sell.

As the transaction is due to be completed early next year, there is plenty of time for Olam to tweak the numbers to make sure that its rights offering gains popularity and goodwill among investors.

So, rather than getting arm-twisted into supporting Olam, the company's shareholders may actually be getting a sweetheart deal. They should thank Muddy Waters for the company's generosity.

engyeow@sph.com.sg

Author: Goh Eng Yeow 10/12/2012 


OLAM International's critics are hard to appease - angry about its vulnerability to short-sellers on the one hand, scathing about its move to defend itself on the other.

Their first complaint is that the agricultural commodities trader runs a fiendishly complicated business with too much debt. That is why short-sellers like independent research outfit Muddy Waters are emboldened to attack it.

Then when the company launched a " shock and awe" approach in the form of a rights issue to fend off the raiders, it was slammed as well.

The complaint this time is that the structure of the offering - a US$750 million (S$916 million) bond-cum-warrants issue - is so complicated that it is impossible to work out what benefits investors will get out of it.

There are also gripes about the way Olam went about the rights issue.

One Reuters writer asked how arm-twisting shareholders into supporting the company is going to dispel the concerns raised by Muddy Waters.

It looked like a short-term fix, he said.

The Financial Times broadened the scope of the criticism: It claimed that since the Olam offering would be fully underwritten by Temasek Holdings, it was Singapore's way of betting that it could shift the debate from Olam's solvency to one of which side has greater firepower - the city-state with an eye to deterring more attacks of this kind, or the shorts.

For Olam's suffering shareholders, there is only one overriding concern: Is the rights offer worth taking up?

For every 1,000 shares, Olam is offering shareholders 313 bonds priced at 95 per cent of par with a coupon rate of 6.75 per cent that comes with 162 detachable " free" warrants.

To make sure that everyone gets the message loud and clear, Temasek Holdings, which owns about 16 per cent of the company, has undertaken not only to pick up its pro-rata entitlement of the offering, but also to mop up all the rights shares not taken up by existing shareholders.

Muddy Waters founder Carson Block, whose salvos launched the mother of all battles to defend Olam, immediately claimed that this amounted to a sovereign bailout of Olam.

But he failed to highlight that the firm's group managing director Sunny Verghese, who holds 4.7 per cent, intends to exercise his rights entitlements as well.

Now that raises an interesting question: Why should Mr Verghese want to put up US$33 million of his own money into Olam if the company is a sinking ship - destined to fail, as Mr Block puts it?

Former Morgan Stanley investment banker Michael Dee, who has worked out the mathematics behind the offer, described the deal as being so sweet, it should be described as the " sale of the century" .

He said: " The US$750 million debt and warrant package is one sweet deal for Temasek and is not being done for charitable reasons."

The so-called " free" warrants that came with the US$750 million of five-year bonds are hardly free and offer " tremendous value" , as they are long-dated options which give their holders the right to buy Olam's shares at US$1.291 apiece in years four and five of their issue.

Mr Dee said that Black-Scholes model - a complicated mathematics formula developed by economists to value complicated derivatives such as warrants - would value these warrants at around 40 Singapore cents, assuming it is business as usual at Olam.

This means that if an investor sells his warrants, the effective cost for his bonds will be cut from 95 US cents to 78 US cents apiece, giving him an effective yield of 13 per cent.

The proposed rights offering had also calmed jittery Olam bond investors, with existing bonds rallying sharply last week after sinking to record lows. It alleviated fears about the company's ability to repay debts maturing next year.

Still, the way the rights issue has been structured suggests that it was hastily put together without considering that retail investors may be reluctant to take it up because they will end up with odd lots that could be difficult to sell.

As the transaction is due to be completed early next year, there is plenty of time for Olam to tweak the numbers to make sure that its rights offering gains popularity and goodwill among investors.

So, rather than getting arm-twisted into supporting Olam, the company's shareholders may actually be getting a sweetheart deal. They should thank Muddy Waters for the company's generosity.

engyeow@sph.com.sg

 

 
kc0257
    06-Jan-2013 18:38  
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Dear all,
I am holding to a few lots from early December till now.
Can anyone tell me when the application for the rights would be?
 
 
counter
    06-Jan-2013 18:03  
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There is a possibility that the price will rise above $2 and the probability will  depend to a large extent on the time frame one is  looking at.

Bt the way, since the rights issue is renounceable, am I right to say that some short sellers may not have returned the borrowed scripts before the XD because they can simply compensate the lenders by buying the rights between 7 Jan and 15 Jan.

In the event that this happens, am I right to saty that we may see  a substantial rise in the price of the rights.

Obfuscate      ( Date: 04-Jan-2013 12:34) Posted:



 

http://multimillionairehouseholds.blogspot.sg/2012/12/olam-update-technical-analysis.html

 

The bounce to $1.73 (50% retracement from recent high) is within expectation and should not be a surprise. The question that should be asked is whether the uptrend can continue from here and beyond $2.

Since Nov 2010 when the price was $3.37, we saw lower lows and lower highs for the next 24 months.

 
 
gavinl
    05-Jan-2013 05:40  
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Rights will starts trading from 07 Jan to 15 Jan 2013.
 

 
Peter_Pan
    04-Jan-2013 19:09  
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Already cleared my holdings. Big ang bao.
 
 
Obfuscate
    04-Jan-2013 12:34  
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http://multimillionairehouseholds.blogspot.sg/2012/12/olam-update-technical-analysis.html

 

The bounce to $1.73 (50% retracement from recent high) is within expectation and should not be a surprise. The question that should be asked is whether the uptrend can continue from here and beyond $2.

Since Nov 2010 when the price was $3.37, we saw lower lows and lower highs for the next 24 months.
 
 
Rosesyrup
    04-Jan-2013 12:14  
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Good News, there are quite a number of shares in the lending pool- a sign of shortists covering their positions. Time to increase holding and corner the shortist.

 

https://www1.cdp.sgx.com/scdcint/sbl/viewLendingPool.do#
 
 
Rosesyrup
    03-Jan-2013 17:57  
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Olam 'at its strongest since IPO'
SINGAPORE - Olam International, the commodity trader that short-seller Carson Block said may fail, said its balance sheet is the strongest since it first sold shares to the public in 2005 and that it is " comfortable" with its current equity levels and gearing.

The company had S$3.42 billion of equity and S$6.99 billion of utilised net debt as of Sept 30, Singapore- based Olam, the world's second-largest rice trader, said yesterday in a filing. It had S$10.71 billion in liquidity as of that date, Olam said.

Mr Block first questioned Olam's accounting methods at a conference in London on Nov 19, and later likened it to failed energy trader Enron in a report by his research firm Muddy Waters. Olam, which counts Singapore's Temasek Holdings as its second-biggest shareholder, refuted Block's claims and responded with a proposed US$1.25-billion (S$1.53-billion) bond and warrants offering to address " lingering doubts" about its liquidity.

" The company has the strongest balance sheet position including its highest equity base and lowest gearing since its initial public offering in February 2005" as of June 30, 2012, Olam said yesterday. The company " has a solid future on the back of a clear and differentiated strategy, a strong business model, and a proven execution capability," it added.

The stock rose 5.8 per cent to S$1.645 at the close of trade in Singapore yesterday. The statement was filed after trading ended. Olam, the second-worst performer on the STI in 2012, lost 27 percent last year and is down 5.5 per cent since Mr Block's comments in November.

Olam has said it faces no risk of insolvency and sued Mr Block and Muddy Waters on Nov 21 in the Singapore High Court, calling their comments malicious falsehoods. Muddy Waters rated Olam a strong sell in a 133-page report in November, saying the commodity trader was likely to fail.

" The board is comfortable with the current equity levels and gearing," Olam said yesterday in the filing.

Olam does not need any further new equity at this stage and does not need to access the debt capital markets until the end of fiscal 2014 should it choose to, it said yesterday. BLOOMBERG

 

 
Octavia
    03-Jan-2013 15:17  
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Olam Int'l: Temasek now owns 19% stake
Olam International (Olam) recently revealed that Temasek Capital (Private) Limited has increased its deemed interest in the company to 19% as of 28 Dec 2012 this up from around 16% before the Muddy Waters allegation on 20 Nov 2012. However, we continue to believe that there are still several medium- to long-term issues that need addressing. We also foresee potential economic headwinds for the commodity sector as a whole. As such, we maintain our HOLD rating and S$1.44 fair value for now. (Carey Wong)

For more information on the above, visit www.ocbcresearch.comfor the detailed report.


NEWS HEADLINES

- US stocks surged on Wed after a budget deal to avoid the fiscal cliff was reached. The Dow rose 2.4% to 13,412.55, the S& P 500 index gained 2.5% to 1,462.42 and the Nasdaq finished 3.1% higher at 3,112.26.

- Global Logistic Properties has leased ~112k sq ft of space at its GLP Park Jiashan logistic facility in Zhejiang Province in eastern China to supermarket giant Tesco.

- Tritech Group has been awarded two contracts worth S$4.22m for site investigation works related to the proposed construction of a cable tunnel from the northwest of Jurong Island to Pioneer Road on mainland Singapore.

- Jackspeed Corp has completed the sale of its leasehold property at Tampines Industrial Avenue 5.







OCBC take on Olam Int'l:

Temasek now owns 19% stake Olam International (Olam) recently revealed that Temasek Capital (Private) Limited has increased its deemed interest in the company to 19% as of 28 Dec 2012 this up from around 16% before the Muddy Waters allegation on 20 Nov 2012. However, we continue to believe that there are still several medium- to long-term issues that need addressing. We also foresee potential economic headwinds for the commodity sector as a whole. As such, we maintain our HOLD rating and S$1.44 fair value for now. (Carey Wong)


Read more:http://sgx.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/3633.jsp
 

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Octavia
    03-Jan-2013 14:37  
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Next we  may hear them saying that they are dropping the lawsuit.Adding that the market has vindicated them of any issues with the company  by the  strong bond take up rate and share price has come off  from its lows as a endorsement of its credibility.Hope that this is wake up call for them.
 
 
krisluke
    03-Jan-2013 13:31  
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Olam:

The beleaguered agri-commodities firm yday broke its month-long silence as it sought to clear the fog of doubt surrounding it: its balance sheet is the strongest since its listing in 2005, it said, and again reiterated that the issues raised about the company had no merits.

In a 274-page " offer information statement" relating to its rights issue - which includes a letter to shareholders to update them on recent devts - the firm said it had formed a sub-committee to do an internal review after its first comments had been published.

The four man-strong subcommittee - comprising non-executive chairman R Jayachandran, lead independent director and chairman of the audit & compliance committee, as well as governance & nomination committee Michael Lim, and independent directors Robert Michael Tomlin and Mark Haynes - found that the questions raised about the firm " have no basis in fact and provide no reason for concern" .

Explaining its silence after an initially rousing defence against criticism by US short-selling research firm Muddy Waters, Olam said: " Despite attempts to draw us into a public battle of words, we have felt that it is in the best interests of the company and its shareholders not to respond to every opinion, claim or assertion made by those who may be doing so for their own vested interests." Olam is +3% at $1.695.
 
 
tonylim
    03-Jan-2013 10:45  
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Shortists may have switched to long Olam instead

tonylim      ( Date: 03-Jan-2013 10:30) Posted:

Die hard shortists need to cover position fast before it hit 1.75 !

Kensonic77      ( Date: 03-Jan-2013 10:27) Posted:



Wow! I am still holding despite all the noise here....

O32 (Olam)
           
WEIGHTED AVG PRICE : 1.6858 LAST DONE PRICE : 1.700  
SPREAD/PRICE RATIO : 0.0029 AVG TRADE SIZE : 11.977  
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol          
1.66 1 1 1 0 0          
1.665 78 882 4 0 878          
1.67 111 1,160 895 0 265          
1.675 85 1,239 399 0 840          
1.68 316 3,856 1,815 0 2,041          
1.685 256 3,049 1,630 0 1,419          
1.69 213 2,210 59 3 2,148          
1.695 186 1,904 528 0 1,376          
1.7 166 2,378 183 585 1,610          
1.705 44 760 0 0 760          
TOTAL 1,456 17,439 5,514 588 11,337          


 
 
tonylim
    03-Jan-2013 10:30  
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Die hard shortists need to cover position fast before it hit 1.75 !

Kensonic77      ( Date: 03-Jan-2013 10:27) Posted:



Wow! I am still holding despite all the noise here....

O32 (Olam)
           
WEIGHTED AVG PRICE : 1.6858 LAST DONE PRICE : 1.700  
SPREAD/PRICE RATIO : 0.0029 AVG TRADE SIZE : 11.977  
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol          
1.66 1 1 1 0 0          
1.665 78 882 4 0 878          
1.67 111 1,160 895 0 265          
1.675 85 1,239 399 0 840          
1.68 316 3,856 1,815 0 2,041          
1.685 256 3,049 1,630 0 1,419          
1.69 213 2,210 59 3 2,148          
1.695 186 1,904 528 0 1,376          
1.7 166 2,378 183 585 1,610          
1.705 44 760 0 0 760          
TOTAL 1,456 17,439 5,514 588 11,337          

 

 
Kensonic77
    03-Jan-2013 10:27  
Contact    Quote!


Wow! I am still holding despite all the noise here....

O32 (Olam)
           
WEIGHTED AVG PRICE : 1.6858 LAST DONE PRICE : 1.700  
SPREAD/PRICE RATIO : 0.0029 AVG TRADE SIZE : 11.977  
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol          
1.66 1 1 1 0 0          
1.665 78 882 4 0 878          
1.67 111 1,160 895 0 265          
1.675 85 1,239 399 0 840          
1.68 316 3,856 1,815 0 2,041          
1.685 256 3,049 1,630 0 1,419          
1.69 213 2,210 59 3 2,148          
1.695 186 1,904 528 0 1,376          
1.7 166 2,378 183 585 1,610          
1.705 44 760 0 0 760          
TOTAL 1,456 17,439 5,514 588 11,337          
 
 
dicksonh
    03-Jan-2013 10:19  
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wonder can hit 1.75 today!!?
 
 
Peter_Pan
    03-Jan-2013 10:16  
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Big ang bao!
 
 
SgxTrader
    03-Jan-2013 10:03  
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I sold all my Olam share last Friday, do I still eligible to subscribe the bond?
 
 
Isolator
    03-Jan-2013 09:47  
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This stock is doom.... especially when jim and Temas entered.... if you dont short is fine, just dont buy.... you will sure to regret.... lol

tonylim      ( Date: 02-Jan-2013 16:27) Posted:

This stock is for long term investment and not for punters

Isolator      ( Date: 02-Jan-2013 13:00) Posted:



Run now if you dont short.....


 
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