
Can go to
http://asia.groups.yahoo.com/group/singapore_shares/
to see the file that I have load up
LP560-4 ( Date: 16-Feb-2011 08:02) Posted:
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cheongsl ( Date: 16-Feb-2011 06:52) Posted:
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Merill Lynch recommends BUY with Target price of $2.49
  Setting the stage for cyclical newbuilding rebound in 2H11
The record containership deliveries in 1H11 are likely to add pressure to falling
freight rates, as per Shipping - Asia-Pacific, 01 February 2011. This is in line with
our view for lackluster new orders in 1H11, resulting in a renewed order-to-fleet
ratio downtrend. We expect this short-term phenomenon to set the stage for a
cyclical newbuilding recovery in 2H11E, as ship owners gradually re-position for
the 5ppt slower rise in capacity, vs demand, in 2013E. Buy Yangzijiang (YZJ), the
direct stock on containership newbuilding upturn. We keep our S$2.49 PO for
YZJ.
Expected game changer – Maiden (> 8,000TEU) ship orders
We expect the medium-term catalyst to come in 2H11, when YZJ secures its
maiden large-sized containerships (> 8,000TEU) newbuild contracts. This gamechanging
moment will likely come when the leading Korean yards exhaust
delivery slots for 2013, and YZJ attracts ship owners with the delivery of
competitively priced containerships for mid-2013, via its new yard that is expected
to be ready by end-2011.
The Street has room to close earnings forecast gap with us
Our net profit estimates for FY11 and FY12 have narrowed by 3ppt to 12%, and
6ppt to 25% above consensus, respectively, since Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, 09
November 2010. We expect this upward earnings revision by the Street to stay in
1H11, due to the growing recognition of less severe margin compression on YZJ’s
order backlog, and the factoring in of revenue growth from new yard expansion.
Better able to mitigate impact of higher steel prices
We expect YZJ to absorb higher steel prices better than its peers. This is done via
leveraging on its strong balance sheet to secure better price discounts, aboveindustry
average margins, proven delivery track record that could bargain for
certain cost escalation clauses, and productivity gains. Still, a vanilla 10ppt higher than-
expected rise in steel prices could cut our FY12 earnings forecast by 10%.
Life Is Great 
Last | Trades | Vol | BuyVol | Mid | SellVol |
1.930 | 11 | 569 | 539 | 0 | 30 |
1.934 | 1 | 95 | 0 | 95 | 0 |
1.936 | 1 | 1,500 | 0 | 1,500 | 0 |
1.937 | 1 | 2,390 | 0 | 2,390 | 0 |
1.940 | 16 | 428 | 185 | 0 | 243 |
1.947 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
1.950 | 11 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 75 |
TOTAL | 42 | 5,072 | 724 | 4,000 | 348 |
 
4000 lots of married deal....vested 1.94
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BARGAIN HUNTING @ FLOATING  CHANNEL SUPPORT BELOW
$1.92 LEVEL
Yangzijiang Shipbuilding: JV company for marine electrical systems
Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) announced that its subsidiary has entered
into an agreement with four other companies to establish a joint venture
company (YZJ to invest 20% of the RMB100m registered paid-up capital)
that will provide marine electrical systems for shipbuilding of commercial
vessels and marine engineering projects. The JV will develop, produce and
sell marine electronic products, besides providing technical consultation
and services to the marine industry. Huge emphasis will be placed on
research and development. The other four companies are Beijing Highlander
Digital Technology (listed company that is a specialist in marine electronics
technology), Jiangsu Hantong Ship Heavy Industry (shipbuilding enterprise),
Taizhou Sanfu Ship Engineering (shipbuilding enterprise) and Jiangsu Yichun
Group (owns shipyards). We are positive on this latest development as
YZJ is likely to have an edge over competitors should this JV be successful
in providing high quality marine electrical systems to customers. The JV
may also enable YZJ to tap on Highlander's clientele. Finally, this may also
provide an alternative source of income from marine electrical systems,
though we put off adjusting our earnings estimates as we will be obtaining
more details from management. Maintain BUY with fair value estimate of
S$2.36 for now. (Low Pei Han)
The scrapping of older carriers will also increase in the coming years as shipping companies invest in new, more environmentally friendly vessels. This is pertinent as > 50% of Cosco’s orderbook is contributed by its parent. But increased scrappage will benefit YZJ once the environmental license for its ship-breaking business is approved.
muifan ( Date: 25-Jan-2011 14:11) Posted:
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ya sometimes you can see it is, but actually is not.
but i run road liao haha ( dunno is heng or not )
epliew ( Date: 25-Jan-2011 12:52) Posted:
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brother,
sometimes it could be a short position.
muifan ( Date: 24-Jan-2011 17:13) Posted:
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james87 ( Date: 24-Jan-2011 21:55) Posted:
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Finally see some middle bb buying up again on this tortoise
but then dunno want to laugh or cry -_-
LP560-4 ( Date: 24-Jan-2011 22:12) Posted:
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Haha ya loh sian
if tonight dow red means die lol
james87 ( Date: 24-Jan-2011 21:55) Posted:
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