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Latest Posts By ozone2002 - Supreme      About ozone2002
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04-Jan-2010 23:46 Keppel   /   keppel Corp       Go to Message
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this is not moving in tandem with oil prices..

looks good for an entry..

~8.25-8.28 should be good..

will vest on tues.. oil $81!!
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04-Jan-2010 23:41 Olam Intl   /   Ramping up its capex       Go to Message
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i trade on technicals..

chart ask me to buy i buy..

chart ask me to sell i sell..

 
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04-Jan-2010 23:08 SIA   /   A380 A Great Way to Fly       Go to Message
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$15 no sweat :)

2010 will be a good year ..hee



ozone2002      ( Date: 03-Jan-2010 18:34) Posted:



news of the tiger ipo rubbin of on this share..

$15 within reach..

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04-Jan-2010 23:06 Rotary Engg   /   Rotary       Go to Message
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up 8c in 1 day.. finally broke out from super long consolidation..

congrats to those who held on



ozone2002      ( Date: 04-Jan-2010 16:23) Posted:

land of smiles.. breakout.. :) :):) :):) :):) :):) :):) :):) :)

ozone2002      ( Date: 29-Dec-2009 15:13) Posted:

1.05 - 1.06..lookin gd


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04-Jan-2010 23:04 Olam Intl   /   Ramping up its capex       Go to Message
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i love u olam 2.69..

go commodities..
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04-Jan-2010 16:54 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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above 69 BREAKOUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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04-Jan-2010 16:23 Rotary Engg   /   Rotary       Go to Message
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land of smiles.. breakout.. :) :):) :):) :):) :):) :):) :):) :)

ozone2002      ( Date: 29-Dec-2009 15:13) Posted:

1.05 - 1.06..lookin gd

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04-Jan-2010 15:09 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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68.5.. nice

ozone2002      ( Date: 04-Jan-2010 11:02) Posted:

steady accumulation @ 67..

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04-Jan-2010 11:20 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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who's gonna volunteer to be the sugarcane? :)

iPunter      ( Date: 04-Jan-2010 11:17) Posted:

Juice... think juice...

Like sugarcane juice...

to squeeze some more out... hehehe... Smiley



goldsurfer      ( Date: 04-Jan-2010 09:18) Posted:

Hey guys, let's accept the fact - this counter has gone up more than 200% since last rally.  I don't against it, but just hope everyone be realistic about the limited room it can go up and remember to lock the profit when it is needed.


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04-Jan-2010 11:02 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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steady accumulation @ 67..
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04-Jan-2010 11:01 Indofood Agri   /   Indofood Agri Resources       Go to Message
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rise could be due the philips issuing a report TP 2.77
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04-Jan-2010 10:50 Indofood Agri   /   Indofood Agri Resources       Go to Message
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2.37 and inchin upward

ozone2002      ( Date: 31-Dec-2009 11:24) Posted:

2.33!... oil $79 going $80

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04-Jan-2010 09:38 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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resistance @ 69..

clear that.. it should will be 70 and beyond..
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04-Jan-2010 09:13 Others   /   Novena       Go to Message
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warrents @ 3c
exercise price 22c
market price should be 25c

current price is 19c.. if novena wants shareholders to pick up the warrants, the share price should be

above 25 to make the warrants look enticing to take up..
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04-Jan-2010 09:04 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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ausgrp uptrend to continue after the brief pause on fri.
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03-Jan-2010 18:34 SIA   /   A380 A Great Way to Fly       Go to Message
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news of the tiger ipo rubbin of on this share..

$15 within reach..
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03-Jan-2010 13:21 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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A little debt is good for you .. The path to riches is simple..

1) Buy real estate for passive income & capital appreciation

2) Buy gold for wealth preservation..


By CONRAD TAN

Using leverage, or borrowing money to invest, may be out of fashion after the financial crisis, but it is a crucial part of a strategy to protect financial portfolios from inflation, says the head of investment at a large private bank.

In a recent interview with BT, Frederic Lamotte, chief investment officer of Credit Agricole Suisse, the Swiss private banking unit of France's Credit Agricole group, said some leverage is necessary to hedge against the risk of heavily indebted governments inflating away their debts.

'I'm very adamant about this: In a portfolio, even a balanced portfolio, a little debt is absolutely necessary as a tool to fight this form of inflation, which is not yet completely identified,' he said.

'Having a little debt, say 30-40 per cent, is not to endanger the structure of the portfolio, but to put you on the same side as the governments that have highly leveraged balance sheets. If they find the solution for their problem, it will also benefit you.

'Today, everybody talks about de-leveraging. The problem, if you get de-leveraged completely, is that you are a net saver, so you are on the other side of the table as compared to the governments and their taxing power.

'Our worry is about debt at the government level. Historically, there have been three ways to get rid of that debt - through higher taxes, inflation or declaring force majeure (defaulting because of war or other extraordinary events).

Higher taxes 'definitely will come, in the US and Europe', Mr Lamotte said. Inflation, he reckons, is also likely to occur, but not in the way it usually develops - through a self-reinforcing spiral of rising prices and wages.

'We have great difficulty seeing how that would start, because prices can increase but salaries will not. Unemployment is very high in the developed countries, so the price of work is not going to increase.'

'So inflation will take maybe another dimension - exactly what, it's not easy to know yet. But we think that the value of paper money is really at stake here, because there has been a lot of printing.'

His strategy to preserve clients' assets from being eroded by inflation is to invest in so-called 'real assets' - gold, industrial metals, real estate and private equity - and using borrowed money, or leverage, to fund some of those investments.

'At the start of 2009, we had 10 per cent gold in our balanced portfolio - a standard portfolio for a standard client,' he said. In mid-November, 'we took profit on 2.5 per cent of the gold and replaced it with 2.5 per cent of industrial metals - mainly copper, aluminium and zinc - and we're going to raise that allocation to around 7 per cent'.

'So overall, precious and industrial metals will make up about 15 per cent of our portfolio' in early 2010.'

Demand for gold is likely to be driven by Asian central banks that have very low gold reserves to catch up with their Western counterparts, he believes.

'And industrial metals have a capacity of storage of value which is very important for emerging markets.

'To build highways and buildings, you need metal - copper for the wire, zinc for the roofs. Whether you buy zinc today or 20 years from now, you know you'll be using it anyway, because of the long-term, massive investment in China.'

Just a quarter of Mr Lamotte's recommended standard portfolio will be in listed equities at the start of 2010, after cutting equity exposure in November and replacing half of it with a derivative position to protects the portfolio from any slump in equity prices before the end of 2009, he said.

'The momentum in equities in 2009 was driven by earnings, which is good, but those earnings were driven by cost-cutting. You can cut costs a few times, but after that you start cutting into bone. It's going to be difficult to do the same exercise to generate further earnings in 2010, so we will wait until the end of the first quarter to see if we get increasing revenues. After that, we will probably be more aggressive.'
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02-Jan-2010 12:08 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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i re-iterate..

ozone2002      ( Date: 31-Dec-2009 11:26) Posted:

sell on rallies

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02-Jan-2010 08:59 GLD USD   /   Gold going up this year?       Go to Message
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NEW YORK (Commodity Online): It is the time of the year, when you love to recollect what others said on things you like and dislike. And on commodities, what better voice to listen to than that of Jim Rogers, the global investing guru on commodities. Rogers' views on gold, silver, platinum, palladium, dollar, pound and agricultural commodities were the most resounding during the whole of 2009.

Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, and a vocal critic of America and Britain, has been arguing all through 2009 that agricultural commodities are the best investment place to put your money.

His argument on agri commodities is that since farmers cannot get loans, they can not get their fertilizer. “No company is opening a new mine, leaving supply problems open to shortages,” he said pointing out that commodities prices will naturally rebound in the next few years.

In 1998, Rogers launched the Rogers International Commodity Index, a composite, US dollar-based, total return index, designed to meet the need for consistent investing in a broad based international vehicle. The Index represents the value of a basket of commodities consumed in the global economy, ranging from agricultural to energy to metal products.

Rogers also blasted British pound saying: “The charm of United Kingdom is all over and it would be prudent if you sell all their currency (pound sterling) fast.”

With his focus on agricultural commodities, Rogers has been saying that he has great hopes on China because China is an agricultural gaint. Rogers, author of such famous books like Hot Commodities and A Bull in China, recently launched an agricultural commodities index focused on food consumption in China.

Saying that China is a fascinating place to invest in, Rogers said China is on the rise, like America 100 years ago, and the problems the Asian giant is encountering right now in certain, mainly export-driven, sectors of its economy will not alter the country’s long-term trajectory.

According to Rogers, three billion people living in Asia, most of them in India and China, will account for a major portion of the total demand for commodities in the coming years. Rogers, who has been putting money into agricultural commodities in China, also said he is ready to buy gold as and when prices drop. He says silver is a better buy than gold, and Rogers is buying silver also these days.

”Gold is the best investment these days. Gold is great investment because the metal’s prices will go over $2000 per ounce in the next one decade, may be by 2019. I would surely buy gold when prices drop,” Jim Rogers said.

Rogers has been speaking at several investment summits from New York to Singapore during 2009—where he is settled these days—arguing that gold prices are going up thanks to the debilitating value of the US dollar. He has consistently argued that US dollar is collapsing, and the death of US dollar has been thanks to the wrong policies by the Federal Reserve all these years.

Several bullion analysts have been warning over the last two weeks that gold price is in a bubble as the yellow metal crossed to touch a historic high of $1227 early December. But Jim Rogers feels that gold is not a bubble that will burst and therefore he is not selling the yellow metal he owns even though gold prices have shot up by an incredible $540 per ounce in the last one year.

Here is the Jim Rogers take on gold and other commodities in 2009:

”If you want to buy precious metal, I'd rather buy silver or palladium. Both are very depressed. I continue to be more optimistic about agriculture than some other commodities.”

”Well, I own gold and I have for a while. How high can it go? I fully expect it to be over a couple thousand dollars an ounce sometime in the next decade—I didn't say the next month, I didn't say the next year, I said the next decade—because paper money around the world is very suspect. But right now everybody's bullish on it, so I don't like to buy things when that's happening. But I'm not selling under any circumstances.”

”You have central banks, which five years ago were selling gold, now buying. So that's a huge shift in the marketplace. Central banks are like lots of other people—they just follow the crowd. There are probably better commodities to buy than gold, but you can't tell that to central banks because they've got gold on the brain. “

"A huge amount is about not just U.S. deficits, but all deficits. Deficits are going berserk nearly everywhere. Throughout history, printing money has led to weaker currencies and higher prices for real assets. And there are many, many pessimists about the dollar, including me. So many pessimists that I suspect there's a rally coming. I have no idea why there should be, but things do usually rally when you have this many bears at the same time. I've actually accumulated a few more dollars. I mean, it's not a significant position, but I do own more dollars than I did a month ago. And we'll probably also have a gold correction because there's so many bulls on gold."
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02-Jan-2010 08:36 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Twelve Black Swans for 2010

It's that time of year again. The eggnog is turning... Christmas trees are cheap... and all the world anticipates my annual Black Swan list.

These aren't predictions — any fool can make a prediction. A Black Swan event is, by definition, unpredictable. And to predict the unpredictable is just one step ahead, one step better.

In the last few years, we've been hit with a number of these events that come from the blue and destroy with a vengeance; the biggest of these was the credit crisis of fall 2007.

So I give you some eventualities to ponder for 2010...

1. China Blows Up

Andrew Lawrence proposed the Skyscraper Index in the aftermath of the 1998 Asian Contagion. His theory says that the world's tallest buildings have risen on the eve of economic downturns. That is, countries that put up the world's tallest buildings enter an economic downturn shortly thereafter.

There is a lot of evidence to back him up: 1907 panic in the U.S. was marked by the Singer Building; the Great Depression followed the Empire State Building; the Asian currency crisis of 1998 — the Petronas Twin Towers.

The world's tallest building at present is the Burj Dubai, which will officially open on January 4, 2010. As you know, real estate prices in Dubai have been cut in half and their biggest company, Dubai World, just defaulted on $50 billion.

The next tallest building being built is The Shanghai Tower in China — expected to be 2,073 feet tall to be completed in 2014.

2. The UK Defaults

High national debt, high inflation, high unemployment, plummeting housing prices, and a second round of bank failures coupled with political mismanagement sends the UK into insolvency. The Queen goes crown-in-hand to beg for money from the IMF.

3. No More Coal Plants

All new electric plants built in 2010 will be fired by natural gas. New drilling methods have increased the supply by 58%. Natural gas is clean, cheap, and it works. There is much money to be made in companies like Chicago Bridge and Iron (NYSE: CBI) that make transfer and storage facilities.

4. Uranium Surges to $90

The price of uranium launched in 2007 up to $145 a pound. Now, after the crash, it is back to $40 a pound. But the same demand that drove uranium up is still there. China is currently building eight nuclear power plants and has another twenty in the planning stages; Britain is building ten. Egypt, India, Sweden, South Korea, and most of Africa are building or seeking to build nuclear energy facilities.

The World Nuclear Association just had a meeting which concluded uranium demand is increasing and at the same time, previous production projections have dropped off due to the credit crisis. Companies like Cameco (NYSE: CCJ) will benefit.

5. Democrats Hold Their Congressional Majority

Strong economic performance in the second half of 2010 will drive down unemployment. The Democrats will be hailed as heroes who saved the economy. The average voter won't care about the new debt burden. And this — coupled with a schism in the Republican Party between the Old Guard and the Palin/Tea Party — will send the GOP into a leaderless chaos. Spending will continue to increase.

6. Mongolia Stock Exchange Becomes the Best Performing Market

China is the world's largest consumer of oil, coal, meat, grain, copper, and [in the near future] uranium. The one country that can supply its constantly growing needs is under-utilized Mongolia.

Mongolia recently dropped its tax rate from 68% income to 30% ownership in new mines/wells. A major deal with Rio Tinto will double the GDP. Twenty-two other deals, possible in coal, oil, uranium, rare earth metals, copper, gold, etc., are pending... And the Mongolian Stock Market is extremely undervalued, with month stocks trading at a P/E under ten.

7. China Drops the Dollar Peg

After years of maintaining a link to the U.S. dollar to ensure cheap exports (and in the face of an ever-falling dollar), China pursues a strong yuan policy in order to buy up natural resources and create domestic consumption.

8. Iran Gets the Bomb and No One Cares

Much like Pakistan and India, Iran will build its nuclear warhead. Israel will be powerless to stop them due to the hidden, protected, and duplicate nature of the manufacture. The Obama Administration will send a strongly-worded letter in response.

9. The Housing Bust: Part II

Housing prices will take another hit as mortgage rates climb past 10%, the ARM balloon payments reset monthly mortgage payments for millions, banks finally sell their inventory, and a large portion of those who are underwater just stop paying. Expect another 30% drop in prices.

10. Dow Hits 20,000

No one is talking about an extended bull market, and I'll grant you that with the amount of debt the U.S. has taken on (on both personal and national levels), it seems the market's geared for a long up-move.

But consider this, dear reader: when Zimbabwe had run-away inflation in 2007, it also had the best performing stock market in the world. Take a look:

Zimbabwe


According to Austrian Business Cycle Theory, the extreme volatility you see in the business cycle is not the natural state. Rather, it is one created by excess growth in money supply and credit.

New money is not simply given to everyone equally and at the same time... New money flows to certain entry points and filters out.

In this way, the money that is currently being produced by the Treasury and hoarded by the banks could flow to equities and launch another bubble.

11. Solar Power Goes Mainstream

Renewable energy will account for 15% of electricity by the end of the year — up from 12% this year. Wind energy grew 28% in 2009; it will grow even faster next year. A company that's looking good is J.A. Solar (NASDAQ: JASO).

12. Uncle Sam Officially Loses the War on Drugs

Four states — Massachusetts, California, New Hampshire, and Washington — seek to legalize marijuana. Currently in each state, there are bills being debated which will result in regulation and legalization of marijuana.

This new political will, coupled with a need to cut back in spending, will dramatically reduce the budget of the DEA as well as local police. One company in this growth business is Medical Marijuana, Inc. (MJNA.PK).

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